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Hi Taylor:
The number of flights getting canceled is starting to freak me
out a little. Is it even safe to book holiday travel? - Mason
Hi Mason: That's a great question that I don't think anyone
can answer confidently until after the fact. Yes, I think it's safe
to book travel, but only if you do so with the expectation that schedules
will get shifted and your airport waits could be a lot longer than
you're used to. We can't predict the future, but we can get into the
factors that will affect these cancellations. |
1. Weather…
as always. Earlier in the year, Southwest had to cancel around
2,000 flights over a weekend. More recently, American Airlines
canceled around the same number. In both cases, the first problem
mentioned was inclement weather, which was definitely a factor-though
labor shortages for flight attendants and ground crew played a
huge role as well. Whatever it was that took the problem from
bad to worse, one thing we can usually count on in November and
December is some harsh weather. Even if you get an unseasonably
warm stretch in the Northeast, record lows somewhere else in the
country will throw the nexus of transcontinental flights out of
whack. We can't blame the airlines for winter weather happening
during winter.
2. Worker shortages. Believe it or not, talking about it hasn't
made it go away. Whether it's pandemic restrictions or fewer people
feeling the need to work certain jobs, industries across America
can't seem to find the workers they need to stay open. This ongoing
struggle becomes even more pronounced when people test positive
for COVID-19, forcing them-and their close contacts-to quarantine
for X number of days. It's hard to imagine this will change before
the holidays, especially for people like airline workers who won't
be put in a confined space if they test positive or are showing
symptoms.
3. Return to "business as usual." The airlines got hit really
hard in the spring of 2020 when things first shut down. Government
assistance helped keep companies afloat, but there's been a lot
of trial and error figuring out how to manage staffing and passenger
expectations during these strange times. Flights were canceled
pretty frequently before the pandemic, but with everyone starting
to travel again at the same time, there's a real spotlight being
shined on the issue. It's going to take at least another holiday
season for things to get back on track, maybe even longer.
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There's no
way of knowing what will happen with flights around Christmas. The
best you can do is plan ahead and not get angry with the ticketing
agent who's probably working a double shift and wishes they could
get on a plane and go on vacation as well. Hope it all works out!
© Taylor Kovar
November 10, 2021
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Information presented is for educational purposes only and is not
an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific
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before implementing any strategy discussed herein. To submit a question
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