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Hi Taylor
- I saw stocks take a big hit a week or two back and read that a lot
of it was due to coronavirus fears. Do you know why an outbreak like
this can affect the markets so much? - Charlene
Hi Charlene - That's a really good question. You see a lot of
headlines about markets dropping because of coronavirus worries and
concerns, but those headlines don't explain the connection. If you
dig deeper, you can find a handful of reasons why a health epidemic
like this can have both an immediate and lasting impact on the economy. |
1. Travel
and tourism. Right out the gate, as soon as the first news
broadcast aired reporting an outbreak in China, there was a small
but noticeable hit felt by all the businesses in the area. In
addition to restaurants and hotels shutting down due to quarantine,
travel plans to all parts of China started taking detours. With
the country's size and population, that kind of shakeup causes
a massive ripple effect for airlines and hotels around the world.
Even if the coronavirus hadn't been as big of a deal as it clearly
is, global travel still would have been hurting for at least a
few days as people cautiously canceled plans and figured out what
was happening.
2. Supply chains. Trade with China is a big deal for most
countries, due to both the geographic size and population of the
country. When a health issue like this comes into play, supply
comes to a grinding halt as different trading partners wait to
make sure they aren't about to infect their own people. Depending
on the product and demand, supply chains might change until the
World Health Organization says things are under control. That
could leave the U.S. paying more for a commodity or getting less
of a certain product than we normally do. Everything from cars
to coffee sales has taken a hit, and analysts are predicting an
extreme slowdown in the growth of the Chinese economy over this
first quarter.
3. Doubt. Since Wall Street investors are all about predictions,
any event that leaves them questioning what happens next will
likely spook the markets. We've already seen this play out several
times this year with news about Iran, the impeachment, and election
news. With something as rare as a global health crisis, no one
knows exactly what's going to happen. It could be over soon or
it could force another economy to be quarantined and shut down,
in which case the markets will see even more severe losses. In
the meantime, the worrying will have investors treading a little
more cautiously than normal.
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Some turns
in the market can be hard to pinpoint. With something like the coronavirus,
you'll see both a direct and indirect economic impact. For now, I'm
praying for the health of those affected and a quick end to this outbreak.
© Taylor Kovar
February 12, 2020
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Information presented is for educational purposes only and is not
an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific
securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve
risk and, unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to
first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional
before implementing any strategy discussed herein. To submit a question
to be answered in this column, please send it via email to Question@GoFarWithKovar.com,
or via USPS to Taylor Kovar, 415 S 1st St, Suite 300, Lufkin, TX 75901.
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